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Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic by SIR model and machine learning technics for forecasting

Domain:

healthcare

Record type:

paper
Creator:
NdiTenSec
Publisher:
arXiv
Host:avatar
This work is a trial in which we propose SIR model and machine learning tools to analyze the coronavirus pandemic in the real world. Based on the public data from \cite{datahub}, we estimate main key pandemic parameters and make predictions on the inflection point and possible ending time for the real world and specifically for Senegal. The coronavirus disease 2019, by World Health Organization, rapidly spread out in the whole China and then in the whole world. Under optimistic estimation, the pandemic in some countries will end soon, while for most part of countries in the world (US, Italy, etc.), the hit of anti-pandemic will be no later than the end of April.

Visit

doi.orgarxiv.org

Tags

Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE)Optimization and Control (math.OC)Machine Learning (stat.ML)FOS: Biological sciencesFOS: Biological sciencesFOS: MathematicsFOS: MathematicsFOS: Computer and information sciencesFOS: Computer and information sciences

Licenses

arXiv.org perpetual, non-exclusive licensehttp://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

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