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ANN architecture used in this study.

Domain:

climateagriculture

Record type:

paper
Creator:
SamVic
Host:avatar

Agriculture is one of the major economic sectors in Africa, and it predominantly depends on the climate. However, extreme climate changes do have a negative impact on agricultural production. The damage resulting from extreme climate change can be mitigated if farmers have access to accurate weather forecasts, which can enable them to make the necessary adjustments to their farming practices. To improve weather prediction amidst extreme climate change, we propose a novel prediction model based on a hybrid of complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN), local mean decomposition (LMD), and artificial neural networks (NN). A detailed comparison of the performance metrics for the short- and long-term prediction results with other prediction models reveals that the three-phase hybrid CEEMDAN-LMD-NN model is optimal in terms of the evaluation metrics used. The study’s findings demonstrate the efficiency of the three-phase hybrid CEEMDAN-LMD-NN prediction model in decision-system design, particularly for large-scale commercial farmers, small-holder farmers, and the agricultural index insurance industry that require reliable forecasts generated at multi-step horizons.

Visit

figshare.com

Tags

MicrobiologyMolecular BiologyEnvironmental Sciences not elsewhere classifiedBiological Sciences not elsewhere classifiedInformation Systems not elsewhere classifiedxlink "> agricultureterm prediction resultsstudy &# 8217prediction models revealsmajor economic sectors+23

Licenses

CC BY 4.0