Forecasting Risk Reduction in Tanzania's Community Health Centres Systems Using Time-Series Models: A Longitudinal Study

Domain:

healthcare

Record type:

paper

Creator:

Mwa

Publisher:

Host:

Community health centres in Tanzania face challenges in risk reduction due to fluctuating healthcare needs and resource availability. A longitudinal study using ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) model for forecasting future trends in healthcare demand and resources. The ARIMA model forecasts a 15% decrease in patient consultations over the next year with an uncertainty interval of ±3% ARIMA models effectively predict risk reduction, aiding in strategic planning to enhance service delivery efficiency. Implementing preemptive resource allocation based on forecasted trends can mitigate future risks and improve health outcomes. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

Visit

doi.org

Licenses

info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode

Forecasting Risk Reduction in Community Health Centres Systems Using Time-Series Models in Rwanda: A Methodological Evaluation

Community health centres in Rwanda have been established to improve access to healthcare se

Time-Series Forecasting Model for Measuring Adoption Rates in Tanzania's Community Health Centres Systems: A Longitudinal Study

The study aims to evaluate adoption rates of community health centres in Tanzania's healthc

Methodological Evaluation of Community Health Centres Systems in Rwanda Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Risk Reduction Analysis

Community health centers (CHCs) in Rwanda play a crucial role in providing essential health

Time-Series Forecasting Models for Risk Reduction in Tanzania's Regional Monitoring Networks Systems

In Tanzania, regional monitoring networks systems are essential for environmental surveilla

Time-Series Forecasting Model Evaluation for Risk Reduction in Community Health Centres Systems, Kenya

Community health centres in Kenya face challenges in risk reduction due to variability in h

Methodological Evaluation of Community Health Centres in Kenya Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Risk Reduction Measurement

Community health centres (CHCs) in Kenya are pivotal for healthcare delivery, especially in