Submission for Flood Prediction in Malawi competition on Zindi
# Flood Prediction in Malawi
Submission for UNICEF Arm 2030 Vision #1: Flood Prediction in Malawi on Zindi
Link:
zindi.africa
Obtained **private leaderboard score of 0.1021236** with a **rank of 107**
Final model consists of 3-layer stacked LightGBM, each with hyperparameter values tuned using grid search, with RidgeCV as a final estimator. Besides the original data, additional Land Cover Type data has been added.
## Model Iterations
| Iteration | Hyperparameters | Public Leaderboard |
|-----------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------|
| LightGBM | Default | 0\.14471 |
| LightGBM | n\_estimator = 50, num\_leaves = 20, max\_depth = 10 | 0\.12008 |
| LightGBM \(with normalisation\) | Same as above | 0\.12443 |
| LightGBM \(with 2\-way interactions between all features\) | Same as above | 0\.29156 |
| LightGBM \(with 2\-way interactions between selected features\) | Same as above | 0\.12317 |
| LightGBM \(with terrain shape data\) | Same as above | 0\.13562 …