available-pixel/conflict-prediction-west-africa

AI-powered dashboard predicting conflict events in West Africa using machine learning and socio-economic data. # Conflict Prediction Dashboard for West Africa --- ## 🔹 Project Overview This project predicts **conflict events in West African countries** using **climate, socio-economic, and population data**. It leverages **machine learning** to provide insights for policymakers, researchers, and humanitarian organizations about potential conflict risks. The predictions include both **2024 and 2027 conflict estimates**, giving a short-term and medium-term view of political instability in the region. 🔗 **Live Dashboard:** conflict-prediction-west-af… --- ## 🔹 Research Publication This project is supported by a published research paper: 📄 **Title:** Predicting Conflict Events in West Africa Using Climate, Socio-Economic, and Population Data 🔗 **DOI:** Predicting Conflict Events… 🧑‍🔬 **Author:** Fadil Owolara ADELABOU 🆔 **ORCID:** orcid.org 📂 **Full Paper (PDF):** Download Research PDF This publication presents a machine learning approach using a **Random Forest model** to predict conflict events by combining climate and socio-economic indicators. --- ## 🔹 Why This Project Matters Conflicts in West Africa affect millions of people and hinder economic and social development. By combining **climate data (temperature, rainfall)** with **economic and social indicators (GDP, unemployment, poverty)**, this dashboard provides actionable insights to: - Anticipate high-risk regions for conflicts - Support humanitarian planning and resource allocation - Inform research on conflict trends --- ## 🔹 Timeline of Key Conflict Events | Year | Event / Prediction | |-----------|------------------| | 2015 | Significant unrest in Nigeria and Mali | | 2016–2017 | Rising conflicts in Burkina Faso | | 2018 | Escalation in northern Niger | | 2019–2020 | Conflict spreads in Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana | | 2021–2023 | Peaks in regional instability | | 2024 | Model predicts high conflict in Bur …