Benedita-Kamau/Kenya-inflation-analysis

Analysis of Kenya CPI and inflation trends (2016–2026) using Python and official KNBS data # Kenya Inflation & Commodity Price Analysis (2016–2025) ## Overview This project analyses Kenya's Consumer Price Index (CPI), inflation trends, and national average retail prices of selected commodities from 2016 to 2025. The analysis uses official data compiled from Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) monthly CPI reports, and applies Python data analysis and visualisation techniques to uncover key economic trends and forecast future inflation. --- ## Data Source - **Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS)** — official monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports (2016–2025) - Data was manually compiled from KNBS PDF reports into a structured Excel dataset - Base period for CPI: **February 2019 = 100** --- ## Dataset Description | Column | Description | |---|---| | Year | Reference year (July of each year) | | Overall Rate of Inflation | Year-on-year inflation rate (%) | | Overall CPI | Consumer Price Index value | | Sugar/2 kg | Average retail price of sugar (KES) | | Wheat Flour/2 kg | Average retail price of wheat flour (KES) | | Maize Flour - Sifted/2 kg | Average retail price of sifted maize flour (KES) | | Fresh Packeted Milk/500 ML | Average retail price of packeted milk (KES) | | Potatoes (Irish)/1 kg | Average retail price of Irish potatoes (KES) | | Onions/1 kg | Average retail price of onions (KES) | | Tomatoes/1 kg | Average retail price of tomatoes (KES) | | Carrots/1 kg | Average retail price of carrots (KES) | | Kale-Sukuma Wiki/1 kg | Average retail price of kale (KES) | | Cabbages/1 kg | Average retail price of cabbages (KES) | | LPG Gas/13 kg | Average retail price of LPG gas (KES) | | Kerosene/1 litre | Average retail price of kerosene (KES) | | Electricity/50 Kw/h | Average cost of 50 kWh electricity (KES) | | Electricity/200 Kw/h | Average cost of 200 kWh electricity (KES) | | House rents/1 room | Average single room rent (KES) | | Petrol/1 litre | Average retail price of petrol (KES) | | Diesel/1 litre | Average retail price of di …