African Airline Ticket Price Prediction (End-to-End ML)
# African Airline Ticket Price Prediction (End-to-End ML)
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## Overview
This project builds a full machine learning pipeline to predict airline ticket prices for major African routes.
It simulates a real-world pricing problem where airlines and travel platforms need to estimate ticket prices based on multiple factors such as route, timing, and demand patterns.
The goal is to:
- Predict airline ticket prices using machine learning
- Understand key drivers of price variation
- Demonstrate an end-to-end ML workflow from data generation to deployment
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## Problem Statement
Airline ticket prices are highly dynamic and influenced by multiple factors including:
- Route and distance
- Booking timing
- Airline type
- Demand fluctuations
Traditional pricing methods can be inconsistent and difficult to scale.
This project builds a machine learning model to support:
- Price prediction
- Better pricing insights
- Data-driven decision-making
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## Dataset
A synthetic dataset was generated to simulate airline ticket pricing in an African context.
Features include:
- **airline** — Airline operator
- **source_city** — Departure location
- **destination_city** — Arrival location
- **departure_time** — Time of departure
- **stops** — Number of stops
- **flight_duration** — Duration of flight
- **days_left** — Days before departure
- **price** — Target variable
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## Methodology
### 1. Data Generation
- Simulated realistic airline pricing data
- Incorporated relationships between time, distance, and demand
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### 2. Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)
- Analyzed price distribution
- Examined relationships between features and ticket price
- Identified patterns across routes and booking windows
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### 3. Data Preprocessing
- Handled categorical variables using encoding
- Prepared dataset for model training
- Split into training and testing sets
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### 4. Model Development
A **Random Forest Regressor** was used to predict ticket prices.
Why this model:
- H …