This project builds, tunes and evaluates the respective performance of a baseline DecisionTreeClassifier, a GradientBoostingClassifier, and a RandomForestClassifier. These three classifiers are hyperparameter-tuned, and their respective performance compared to select best model for predicting the condition of water-wells in Tanzania.
# Supervised ML Classifiers for Predicting Water Wells Condition
## 1. Project Overview
This project explores the use of supervised machine learning classifiers to predict the condition of water wells in Tanzania. By leveraging a ternary classification approach, the goal is to distinguish between wells that are functional, non-functional, or functional but in need of repair. The workflow encompasses data preprocessing, model building, evaluation, and actionable recommendations to support sustainable water resource management.
## 2. Business Understanding
Access to clean and reliable water is a critical challenge in Tanzania. Many wells fall into disrepair or become non-functional, impacting communities' health and livelihoods. Predicting the condition of water wells enables stakeholders to prioritize maintenance, allocate resources efficiently, and ensure long-term water access. This project addresses the question: **_Can supervised ML classification models trained on available data predict the operational status of a water-well in Tanzania ?_**
## 3. Data Preprocessing
The Data Preprocessing Pipeline encompases the following steps that are executed sequentially to prevent data-leakage:
1. Define Exog and Endog.
2. Perform Train-Test split.
3. Drop rendundant and irrelevant columns in **X_train**.
4. Handle missing values in **X_train**.
5. Feature engineering on **X_train**.
6. Multicollinearity check on numerical features in **X_train**.
7. Numerical Features' Normalization in **X_train**.
8. Categorical Features' OneHot Encoding in **X_train**.
9. Target Variable Label Encoding in **y_train**.
10. Address Class Imbalance in **y_train**
11. Preprocess Test set (**X_test** and **y_test**): Steps 3 to 9.
12. Preprocess Evaluation Data (**testdata.csv**) Steps 3 to 8.
## 4. Modelling
Multiple supervised ML classifiers are build, trained on a balanced training set, tuned, and their respective performance analyzed to determine the best-fit model for predictin …