drizzy765/debt-pulse-africa

# DebtPulse Africa **10Alytics Global Hackathon 2025 Submission** ## Overview DebtPulse Africa is a policy-ready fiscal transparency platform that exposes Africa's debt crisis through AI-powered risk scoring and forecasting, while enabling direct citizen action via USSD debt conversion. ## The Problem From 27,000+ rows of official 10Alytics fiscal data, only **622 clean annual records** remain after cleaning. Nigeria, Africa's largest economy, has **no consistent yearly inflation series** across 60+ years. This isn't a data quality issue—it's the fiscal transparency crisis at its core. ### External Validation (2025) - Nigeria spends **96% of revenue on debt service** (IMF Oct 2025) - Debt service is **10× the health budget** (World Bank 2025) - **23 African countries** are in debt distress - **$88.6B** lost annually to illicit flows (UNCTAD 2025) ## The Solution DebtPulse Africa provides: 1. **AI Risk Scoring & Forecasting** - Polynomial regression models project fiscal trends 2025-2030 2. **Full Transparency** - Interactive dashboard exposing data gaps and debt sustainability metrics 3. **Citizen Debt Conversion** - USSD `*384*10000#` enables citizens to convert ₦500 of sovereign debt into verified education/climate projects ## Features ### 1. Fiscal Risk Overview - AI-calculated rescue scores for 14 African countries - Debt distress risk classification (High/Moderate/Low) - Real-time critical alerts for countries in fiscal stress ### 2. AI Prediction & Forecasting - 5-year projections (2025-2030) using polynomial regression - Interactive country and metric selection - Automated trend analysis with plain-English insights ### 3. Deep Dive Analysis - Debt-to-GDP ratio trends (2010-2024) - Data transparency audit showing years of reported data per country - Visual identification of fiscal data gaps ### 4. Citizen-Led Solution - USSD-based debt conversion mechanism - Blockchain-verified transaction ledger - Direct fund allocation to local schools and clini …