A preliminary workflow for forecasting Jonkershoek flood events
# Jonkershoek streamflow and flood events
## Project Description
The goal of `streamflow_jonkershoek` is to set up a project focused on
forecasting flood events in the Jonkershoek valley, South Africa, for
the near-term ecological forecasting course run by the African Chapter
of the Ecological Forecasting Initiative, Ecoforecast Africa
( ). See
.
## Data Overview
Streamflow, weather and soil moisture data are from the South African
Environmental Observation Network (SAEON). The project will focus on
streamflow data from the Langrivier gauging weir and weather and soil
moisture data from the high altitude automated weather station at
Dwarsberg. These observations are part of the Jonkershoek long term
study site run by the SAEON Fynbos Node ( ).
The site has a long history of environmental observations, starting with
a multiple catchment experiment in the 1940s. More details are available
in Slingsby et al. 2021. Jonkershoek: Africa’s Oldest Catchment
Experiment ‐ 80 Years and Counting. Hydrological Processes,
.
For this project we are focusing only on data collected since SAEON took
over observations at this site and set up automated logging instruments.
Using older records (back to the 1930s in some cases) requires dealing
with changes in instrumentation, recording frequency, etc. The data
we’ll use run from from 2011-08-24 to the near-present for streamflow,
and 2013-03-03 to the near-present for weather and soil moisture.
A typical v-notch weir at Jonkershoek.
For the purposes of this forecast a flood is defined as an event where
the stream height rises above the wall of the weir. For the Langrivier
weir, this occurs when streamflow exceeds 4.076 cumecs.
For live weather data and the record over the past month you can access
the Dwarsberg weather station
directly
### Data download and cleaning
The data were downloaded from the SAEON Observations Database
( ) using the `saeonobsr` R package.
To use this service you need to register for an account …