elu-di/ethiopia-fi-forecast

# Ethiopia Financial Inclusion Forecasting System **Selam Analytics** | Financial Inclusion Forecasting for Ethiopia 2025–2027 --- ## 🇪🇹 Overview A data science system that forecasts Ethiopia's progress on the two core dimensions of financial inclusion (as defined by the World Bank Global Findex): | Dimension | Indicator | 2024 Baseline | |-----------|-----------|---------------| | **Access** | Account Ownership Rate | 49% | | **Usage** | Digital Payment Adoption | ~35% | The system integrates historical Findex survey data, operator-reported metrics, infrastructure data, and an event impact model to produce 2025–2027 scenario forecasts. --- ## 🏗️ Project Structure ``` ethiopia-fi-forecast/ ├── data/ │ ├── raw/ # Original Findex + reference CSVs │ └── processed/ # Enriched dataset, forecast outputs ├── notebooks/ │ ├── 01_data_exploration_enrichment.ipynb # Task 1: EDA + enrichment │ ├── 02_exploratory_data_analysis.ipynb # Task 2: Visualizations + insights │ ├── 03_event_impact_modeling.ipynb # Task 3: Association matrix + validation │ └── 04_forecasting_access_usage.ipynb # Task 4: 2025-2027 forecasts ├── src/ │ ├── __init__.py │ ├── data_loader.py # Data loading and preprocessing │ ├── impact_model.py # Event impact modeling engine │ └── forecaster.py # Time-series forecasting framework ├── dashboard/ │ └── app.py # Streamlit interactive dashboard ├── tests/ │ ├── test_data_loader.py │ ├── test_impact_model.py │ └── test_forecaster.py ├── reports/ │ └── figures/ # Generated visualizations ├── requirements.txt └── README.md ``` --- ## 🚀 Quick Start ### 1. Clone and install dependencies ```bash git clone github.com cd ethiopia-fi-forecast pip install -r requirements.txt ``` ### 2. Run the Interactive Dashboard ```bash streamlit run dashboa …