EOKELLO/Fertilizer-price-project

Application of hybrid seasonal ARIMA GARCH model in modelling and forecasting of fertilizer prices in Kenya # Fertilizer-price-project Application of hybrid seasonal ARIMA GARCH model in modelling and forecasting of fertilizer prices in Kenya The objective of this research was to create a hybrid SARIMA GARCH model for fertilizer price prediction in Kenya. In addition, the study was designed to determine whether the model could be used to select the optimum port for fertilizer import at various periods and to determine whether the port through which fertilizer is imported affects the price charged. To conduct this study, we cleansed the data and transformed it using sophisticated algorithms to guarantee a valid result. Then, the GARCH, SARIMA, and Hybrid SARIMA GARCH techniques were used to analyze fertilizer price trends.