girum07/maternal-mortality-ethiopia

# 📊 Maternal Mortality Trend in Ethiopia (DHS/HDX Data Analysis) ## 🎯 Objective This project analyzes the trend of maternal mortality in Ethiopia using DHS/HDX survey data. The goal is to understand how maternal mortality changes over time and compute the rate of change between survey periods. --- ## 🧠 Research Question How has maternal mortality in Ethiopia changed across survey years, and what is the rate and direction of that change? --- ## 📦 Dataset - Source: DHS / HDX (Demographic and Health Surveys) - Country: Ethiopia (ISO3: ETH) - Main indicator: - Pregnancy-related mortality rate --- ## ⚙️ Methodology ### Data Processing - Load raw DHS dataset using Pandas - Filter for: `Pregnancy-related mortality rate` - Keep relevant fields: `SurveyYear`, `Value` - Sort data chronologically ### Feature Engineering - `change` → difference between consecutive values - `year_gap` → time difference between survey years - `rate_of_change` → normalized change per year --- ## 📉 Key Insight Maternal mortality in Ethiopia shows a **general decreasing trend over time**, but the decline is **not perfectly linear**, indicating variation across survey periods. --- ## 📊 Output Visualization The trend visualization generated by the project is shown below: --- ## 🧠 Interpretation of Results The analysis shows that maternal mortality in Ethiopia follows a **general downward trend across survey years**. This suggests gradual improvement in maternal health outcomes over time. However, the decline is **not smooth or linear**. Some intervals show faster reductions while others show slower progress. This inconsistency is mainly due to: - Irregular spacing between survey years - Limited number of observation points - External socio-economic and healthcare system factors not captured in the dataset Overall, the trend indicates **positive progress**, but not steady or predictable improvement. --- ## 🔭 Future Improvements ### 📈 Advanced Analysis - Apply statistical trend mo …