ikraamhazzan1-cyber/somalia-measles-analysis

Regional analysis of measles vaccination coverage gaps and zero-dose children across Somalia 2019-2023 | Python | WHO Target Analysis # 💉 Somalia Measles Vaccination Coverage Analysis — 2019–2023 > **Regional analysis of measles vaccination coverage gaps, zero-dose children, and structural determinants of immunization failure across seven Somali regions — 2019 to 2023.** --- ## 📋 Overview This project investigates why measles vaccination coverage in Somalia remains critically below the WHO 95% herd immunity threshold — and which structural factors drive coverage failure. The analysis uses district-level immunization data to identify priority regions, quantify unvaccinated child burden, and model determinants of low coverage. --- ## 🔑 Key Findings | Metric | Value | |--------|-------| | Unvaccinated Children (2023) | **125,025** | | Regions reaching WHO 95% target | **0 out of 7** | | Lowest MCV1 coverage | **Southwest State — 46%** | | Highest MCV1 coverage | **Somaliland — 83%** | | IDP–coverage correlation | **r = −0.939** (p<0.001) | | Conflict–coverage correlation | **r = −0.928** (p<0.001) | --- ## 📊 Figures | Figure | Description | |--------|-------------| | `fig1_regional_coverage.png` | MCV1/MCV2 vs WHO target by region | | `fig2_coverage_trends.png` | 5-year trend lines by region | | `fig3_unvaccinated_heatmap.png` | Zero-dose children heatmap | | `fig4_determinants.png` | Structural drivers correlation plots | | `fig5_geographic_map.png` | GIS-style bubble map of Somalia | --- ## 🗂️ Project Structure ``` measles_project/ ├── data/ │ └── somalia_measles_data.csv ├── scripts/ │ └── measles_analysis.py ├── outputs/ │ ├── fig1_regional_coverage.png │ ├── fig2_coverage_trends.png │ ├── fig3_unvaccinated_heatmap.png │ ├── fig4_determinants.png │ └── fig5_geographic_map.png └── report/ └── Somalia_Measles_Report_2019_2023.html ``` --- ## 🛠️ Methods - **Design:** Retrospective cross-sectional analysis - **Outcomes:** MCV1/MCV2 coverage (%), zero-dose children - **Determinants:** Distance to clinic, IDP %, conflict score - **Statistics:** Pearson correlation, d …