Veterinary Disease Outbreak Analysis in Egypt using Machine Learning
# Veterinary Disease Outbreak Analysis in Egypt
## π Project Overview
This project analyzes veterinary disease outbreaks in Egypt and predicts economic losses using Machine Learning models.
The goal is to:
* Identify most common diseases
* Analyze outbreak trends
* Predict economic losses
* Compare Machine Learning models
* Build data-driven insights for veterinary decision making
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## π Dataset Features
* Farm_ID
* Governorate
* Animal_Type
* Farm_Size
* Disease_Detected
* Vaccinated
* Outbreak_Cases
* Deaths
* Vet_Visit
* Treatment_Used
* Economic_Loss_EGP
* Month
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## π Project Workflow
1. Data Cleaning
2. Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)
3. Feature Engineering
4. Model Training
5. Model Evaluation
6. Model Comparison
7. Advanced Analysis (SHAP, PDP)
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## π€ Machine Learning Models Used
* Linear Regression
* Decision Tree
* Random Forest
* Support Vector Machine (SVM)
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## π Key Insights
* Poultry farms had highest outbreak rates
* Avian Influenza caused highest economic losses
* Vaccination significantly reduced deaths
* Random Forest achieved best performance
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## π Model Performance
| Model | Performance |
| ----------------- | ----------- |
| Linear Regression | Baseline |
| Decision Tree | Good |
| Random Forest | Best |
| SVM | Moderate |
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## π Tools & Technologies
* Python
* Pandas
* Scikit-learn
* Matplotlib
* Seaborn
* SHAP
* Power BI
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## π Project Structure
See folders for:
* Data
* Notebooks
* Source Code
* Reports
* Dashboard
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## π Future Work
* Deploy model
* Real-time prediction
* Dashboard automation
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## π©βπ» Author
Neama Darwesh
Data Analyst | Machine Learning Enthusiast
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