Distributed solar PV generation framework for Zambia — ZESCO JV research, feasibility, and developer roadmap`
# Using Solar Energy for Decentralised Power Generation in a Cost-Effective Manner and Habitat Restoration
> A research project examining the technical feasibility, financial viability, and ecological integration
> of decentralised solar PV generation for industrial applications in sub-Saharan Africa — using Zambia as the case study.
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## Live interactive visualizations
| Visualization | Link |
|---------------|------|
| Scale to cost chart | Open → |
| Feasibility dashboard | Open → |
| ZESCO JV structure | Open → |
| Developer roadmap | Open → |
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## Abstract
Zambia faces a structural energy crisis driven by an over-reliance on hydroelectric power, which accounts
for over 80% of installed generation capacity. The 2023–2024 El Niño drought reduced Kariba Dam output
from a nameplate capacity of 1,080 MW to just 215 MW, forcing load-shedding of up to 12 hours per day
and a 40% power curtailment request to the mining sector. The estimated economic cost was USD 1.3 billion,
approximately 5% of GDP.
This research develops a framework for decentralised solar PV generation as a structural complement to
Zambia's vulnerable hydroelectric system. The framework is built on five design principles: small-to-medium
plant scale (1–50 MW) targeting industrial off-takers; underground XLPE cable transmission to eliminate
habitat disruption; integration into existing ZESCO substations to minimise capital expenditure; an
agri-ecological co-location system deploying panel-wash irrigation, goat grazing, and apiculture; and
a Public-Private Partnership joint venture structure with ZESCO as equity co-investor under a 20–25 year
take-or-pay Power Purchase Agreement.
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## Research areas
### 1. Solar PV technology
Analysis of commercial monocrystalline silicon PV technology (PERC, bifacial, TOPCon, HJT), achieving
20–26% module efficiency at installed costs of USD 640–980/kWp. Zambia's exceptional solar resource
(5.5–5.78 kWh/m²/day average irradiance, 1,900–2,100 kWh/m² ann …