Subnational immunisation coverage gaps and structural determinants in Ghana - 261 districts (DHS 2022 + Census 2021)
# Subnational immunisation coverage gaps and structural determinants in Ghana
**Ecological equity mapping and an interpretable district risk index across 261 districts**
Reporting: STROBE + RECORD · License: MIT
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## 1. Overview
This repository contains the full, reproducible analysis behind an ecological study of childhood
immunisation coverage across **all 261 districts of Ghana**. Using the 2022 Ghana Demographic and Health
Survey (DHS; region-level immunisation, 16 regions) linked to the 2021 Ghana Population and Housing Census
(district-level socioeconomics, 261 districts), it maps coverage, builds an **Immunisation District Risk
Index (IDRI)**, characterises its spatial structure, and tests whether machine learning improves district
risk classification over logistic regression. The design is explicitly **ecological** and methodologically
candid: immunisation coverage is region-resolved (effective N = 16), so it is mapped at region level while
spatial and predictive analyses use a district-varying socioeconomic surface.
**Author:** Valentine Golden Ghanem · Ghana COCOBOD Cocoa Clinic, Accra; University of Cape Coast (PhD
candidate) · ORCID 0009-0002-8332-0220.
## 2. Key findings
- Full-immunisation coverage averaged **75.2%** (median 77.8%); **180 / 261 districts (69.0%)** fell below the 80% target.
- A marked **Northern–Southern gradient**: Northern-belt districts (n=55) averaged 67.5% full coverage
versus 77.2% in the Southern belt (n=206), with higher zero-dose prevalence (3.8% vs 1.1%) and DPT1–DPT3
dropout (10.2 vs 7.7 points). Coverage ranged from 55.8% (Northern) to 87.7% (Western North); Western
Region (62.5%) was a southern low-coverage exception.
- District vulnerability (IDRI) was strongly spatially clustered (**Global Moran's I = 0.72, z = 17.5,
p **Tip:** both files are fully self-contained — ECharts and the map geometry are inlined — so they render **offline** with no server or network. The poster is print-ready at A …