YeabisraW/ethiopia-fi-forecast

# Ethiopia Financial Inclusion Forecasting System **Client:** Consortium of DFIs, NBE, and Mobile Money Operators **Consultancy:** Selam Analytics ## Project Overview This system tracks and predicts Ethiopia's digital financial transformation (2011–2027). It utilizes a unified schema to model the relationship between market events (e.g., Telebirr launch, M-Pesa entry, Fayda ID) and World Bank Global Findex indicators. ## Core Metrics * **Access:** Account Ownership Rate (% of adults 15+) * **Usage:** Digital Payment Adoption Rate (% of adults 15+) ## Repository Structure - `data/`: Unified schema datasets (Observations, Events, Impact Links). - `src/`: Core logic for event-impact estimation and time-series modeling. - `notebooks/`: Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) and Model Validation. - `dashboard/`: Streamlit interface for stakeholder visualization. ## Setup Instructions 1. Clone the repository: `git clone ` 2. Install dependencies: `pip install -r requirements.txt` 3. Run the dashboard: `streamlit run dashboard/app.py` ## 🖥️ How to Run the Dashboard 1. Install dependencies: `pip install streamlit plotly` 2. Launch: `streamlit run dashboard/app.py`