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Institutional Decay and Elite Predation: The Structural Drivers of Ethiopia's Ongoing Political and Administrative Crisis

Domain:

peace and security

Record type:

paper
Creator:
Men
Publisher:
Elsevier BV
Host:
This manuscript investigates the compounding mechanisms of institutional decay and elite predation driving contemporary Ethiopia's political turmoil and administrative crisis. Moving beyond reductionist narratives of primordial ethnic hatred, this study contends that the current crisis is the structural outcome of historical pathdependencies, flawed ethno-federal designs, and rent-seeking networks that survived successive regime transitions. By examining the post-2018 political transition, the paper explores how the centralization maneuvers of the Prosperity Party, coupled with sub-national elite mobilization, have hollowed out formal bureaucratic accountability. Drawing upon qualitative political economy analysis and foundational literature references, the paper demonstrates that systemic corruption is not merely an administrative failure, but a core governance crisis rooted in state capture.

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