Microbial Macroeconomics

Background: Major goal of Africa Union (AU) Health Security and Sovereignty (AHSS) is reduction of avoidable death and increase in domestic health patronage by 2040. A major lesson learnt from DRC 2026 Ebola outbreak is the crucial role of good governance, particularly for mitigation conflict and insurgencies. Other obstacles to (AHSS) include access to quality healthcare (safe, accurate, and precise treatment or diagnostics). Also, diminished productivity or customer service satisfaction, and Turn-Around-Times (TAT). To include healthcare affordability and accessibility. Finally, poor public utilities and infrastructure are attributed to limitations in Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) integration. Method: To begin, multiple regression analysis and ANOVA was used to explore stochastic relationships between political shifts in Nigeria and changes in behavior impacting distribution of cancers associated with communicable neoplastic agents (CNA) or communicable cancers. Additionally, critical review adopts a comparative pretest (Ex-Post) and posttest (Ex Ante) time series case study along with Solomon Four-Group approach to determine CNA prevalence and to forecast its mortality rate. Specifically, Coupled Behavioral-Epidemiological Game and impact models with endogenous fiscal and public policy frameworks created from meta-analysis of socio-economic performance measures, and data in cancer registries was used to identify obstacles to cancer interventions. Finally, findings were used to make recommendations for (AHSS) compliance. Result: Findings on distribution of cancers associated with Communicable Neoplastic Agents (CNA) or communicable cancers, and indices on Conflict and Insurgencies Lethality (CIL) in Nigeria show Northern and Southern geopolitical zones score: 80% and (>0.5); and (20%) and (< 0.3) respectively. Additionally, Northern zone experiences prolonged (>7 years) Internal Displacement of People (IDP) of extremely large sizes (> 2,687,741) along with high unemployment rates (>26.6 per 100). Conclusion: Nigeria is experiencing an epidemiologic transition (resulting outcome) of cancer due to poor governance (macro trigger). Additionally, reproductive age females in conflict zones are disproportionately affected. Stochastically, prevalence of Human Papilloma Virus (HPV)—Cervical Cancer (CC), Espin Barr Virus (EBV)—Non-Hodgkins Lymphoma (NHL); EBV—Hodkin Lymphoma (HL); Schistosoma haematobium—Bladder Cancer (BC); Helicobacter pylori—Stomach Cancer (SC) and Human Herpes Simplex Virus (HHSV)-8—Kaposi Sarcoma (KS) —HIV are all linked to religious intolerance (Unmeasurable Variable), unemployment, and IDP (Predictors). Furthermore, lethal activities of insurgencies and conflicts (Vital Few) exacerbate the problem by limiting intervention access. Consequently, provision of safe; high-quality public utility infrastructure along with systemic improvements to processes that provide good governance with focus on interfaith and interethnic tolerance along with conditional employment (with government benefits) are needed to productively mitigate trend.