PyGEE-ST-MEDALUS: AI Spatiotemporal Framework Integrating MODIS and Sentinel-1/-2 Data for Desertification Risk Assessment in Northeastern Algeria

Desertification threatens the sustainability of dryland ecosystems, yet many existing monitoring frameworks rely on static maps, coarse spatial resolution, or lack temporal forecasting capacity. To address these limitations, this study introduces PyGEE-ST-MEDALUS, a novel spatiotemporal framework combining the full MEDALUS desertification model with deep learning (CNN, LSTM, DeepMLP) and machine learning (RF, XGBoost, SVM) techniques on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. Applied across Tebessa Province, Algeria (2001–2028), the framework integrates MODIS and Sentinel-1/-2 data to compute four core indices—climatic, soil, vegetation, and land management quality—and create the Desertification Sensitivity Index (DSI). Unlike prior studies that focus on static or spatial-only MEDALUS implementations, PyGEE-ST-MEDALUS introduces scalable, time-series forecasting, yielding superior predictive performance (R2 ≈ 0.96; RMSE < 0.03). Over 71% of the region was classified as having high to very high sensitivity, driven by declining vegetation and thermal stress. Comparative analysis confirms that this study advances the state-of-the-art by integrating interpretable AI, near-real-time satellite analytics, and full MEDALUS indicators into one cloud-based pipeline. These contributions make PyGEE-ST-MEDALUS a transferable, efficient decision-support tool for identifying degradation hotspots, supporting early warning systems, and enabling evidence-based land management in dryland regions.