Secure Circular Supply Chains for Electronic Waste in Egypt: A Monte Carlo Synthetic-Network Study

This study develops and tests a computational model of secure circular supply chain readiness for electronic waste in Egypt. A synthetic dataset of 360 network organizations was generated from six capability domains: collection infrastructure, stakeholder collaboration, traceability, regulatory support, security controls, and human capability. The readiness model explained 47.3% of variance. Circular readiness, traceability, security controls, and collaboration jointly explained 84.7% of the synthetic recovery-rate variation. Security controls, traceability, regulatory support, and circular readiness explained 83.3% of leakage-risk variation. Mean recovery increased from 52.8% in the low-security tier to 69.9% in the high-security tier, while leakage risk fell from 37.4% to 19.5%. Results validate the logic and analysis pipeline but are not observations of Egypt’s e-waste sector.