




Seasonal climate forecasts are commonly based on model runs from fully coupled forecasting
systems that use Earth system models to represent interactions between the atmosphere, ocean,
land, and other Earth-system components. This deliverable provides various tools and techniques to
download, process, bias-correct and visualize seasonal forecasts and observational data products
relevant for the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region, with a particular focus on precipitation.
Tools developed in the programming language R provide functionality for processing and evaluating
seasonal weather forecasts, with an emphasis on tercile forecasts. These tools follow the guidelines
by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) regarding evaluation of seasonal forecasts. Tools
developed in Python provide functionality for statistical downscaling and bias-correction of daily
precipitation amounts on the seasonal scale, probabilistic predictions of rainy season onset dates and
probabilistic predictions of seasonal precipitation amounts using machine learning techniques.