This study asks what impact the Fourth Industrial Revolution will have on job creation
and catchup development in Sub-Saharan Africa over the coming decade. Can light
manufacturing export sectors still serve African development the way they served East
Asian development in the past? If factory floor automation reduces the need for low-cost
labour in global value chains, can IT-enabled services exports become an alternative
driver of African catch-up development? I present case study evidence from Kenya to show
that online freelancing has become an interesting sector, both in terms of its growth
trajectory, and in terms of worker upward mobility in the global knowledge economy. As
life everywhere moves further into the digital realm, and global internet connectivity
between Africa and the rest of the world grows, more and more young Africans who stream
onto the labour market may find work in the world of global online freelancing. I discuss
the building blocks needed to make online work a sustainable vehicle for African catch-up
development in the years ahead. Discussion Paper 3/2020