This dataset contains species distribution model (SDM) outputs (ensemble habitat suitability predictions) for the fungal wilt pathogen Leptographium calophylli and its endemic host tree Calophyllum paniculatum in Madagascar, generated under three climate/land-cover change scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) and four time periods (1981-2010 baseline "current", 2011-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100). Maps are available at 1 x 1 km spatial resolution.
These outputs were generated using the ensemble SDM code published in Underwood et al. (2026), Landscape Ecology,
doi.org, with full analysis code available at
github.com. This archive was created to preserve and make citable the specific output files for future follow-up studies.
Folder structure containing two sub folders, and 20 raster output maps [fungal-pathogen-SDM-ensemble-outputs]:
--current_projection [refers to projections made using current/baseline (1981-2010) bioclimatic variables and deforestation estimates downloaded from CHELSA V2.1 and ForestAtRisk- see Karger et al. (2017), Karger et al. (2021) and Vieilledent et al. (2018)]
|--- calo_current_1981-2010_prediction.tif [refers to predictions for C. paniculatum native and endemic to Madagascar]
|--- vertlept_current_1981-2010_prediction.tif [refers to predictions for L. calophylli, derived from genera level records of Leptographium spp. and Verticillium spp. across Africa]
--future_projection [refers to future predictions, see naming convention to identify e.g., calo = C. paniculatum, vertlept = L. calophylli, ssp126 = SSP1-2.6, 2011-2040 = prediction year average]
|--- calo_ssp126_2011-2040_prediction.tif
|--- calo_ssp126_2041-2070_prediction.tif
|--- calo_ssp126_2071-2100_prediction.tif
|--- calo_ssp370_2011-2040_prediction.tif
|--- calo_ssp370_2041-2070_prediction.tif
|--- calo_ssp370_2071-2100_prediction.tif
|--- calo_ssp585_2011-2040_prediction.tif
|--- calo_ssp585_2041-2070_prediction.tif
|--- calo_ssp585_2071-2100_prediction.tif
|--- vertlept_ssp126_2011-2040_prediction.tif
|--- vertlept_ssp126_2041-2070_prediction.tif
|--- vertlept_ssp126_2071-2100_prediction.tif
|--- vertlept_ssp370_2011-2040_prediction.tif
|--- vertlept_ssp370_2041-2070_prediction.tif
|--- vertlept_ssp370_2071-2100_prediction.tif
|--- vertlept_ssp585_2011-2040_prediction.tif
|--- vertlept_ssp585_2041-2070_prediction.tif
|--- vertlept_ssp585_2071-2100_prediction.tif