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Framework for statistical downscaling of global climate model geopotential thickness fields to maximum temperature in Southern Africa to aid change adaptation

Domaine:

climate
Créateur:
Nte
Éditeur:
University of Pretoria
Hôte:avatar
Maximum temperature and rainfall observed data files were downloaded from the IRI Data Library as well as the model predicted 850-to-500 geopotential thickness fields (used to predict maximum temperature over southern Africa) and 850 circulation data fields (predictor for rainfall). Model Output statistics in CPT - climate predictability tool, was set up using CCA - canonical correlation analysis to produce retroactive forecasts. MATLAB was further utilized to post-process / fine-tune the output from CPT and to produce other results. The researcher used the output from the global climate model to develop a statistical model for maximum temperature seasonal forecasts for Southern Africa.

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