Real-time prediction of Nigeria's national grid collapse.
# ⚡ AI for Grid Collapse Prediction
This project was carried out as part of the **Deep Learning Indaba Community Challenge 2025**.
It focuses on leveraging **Artificial Intelligence (AI)** and **Machine Learning (ML)** to build a system capable of predicting the **probability of national grid collapse** based on historical data.
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## 🌍 Project Overview
Power grid collapse is a critical issue in many developing nations, including Nigeria, leading to widespread blackouts, economic losses, and safety risks.
This project explores how AI can be used to **anticipate grid instability** and help authorities take **proactive measures** to prevent such collapses.
The ultimate goal is to provide a data-driven solution that can:
- Detect potential patterns leading to grid failure.
- Predict the **likelihood of grid collapse** at specific times.
- Support **decision-making** for improved power infrastructure management.
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## 🧩 Data Generation
Due to the **limited availability of real-world national grid data**, this project uses **synthetically generated data** to simulate realistic grid behaviors over time.
The dataset was designed to reflect:
- Hourly and daily variations in power demand and supply.
- Frequency fluctuations and voltage irregularities.
- System load patterns under different operational conditions.
Although synthetic, the data was modeled to maintain realistic statistical characteristics, enabling valid experimentation and learning.
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## 🔬 Methodology
### 1. **Data Preparation**
- Generated data was **cleaned**, normalized, and structured into **hourly** and **daily** subsets.
- Feature engineering was applied to derive key indicators of grid health.
### 2. **Unsupervised Learning (Initial Phase)**
- **Clustering** techniques were tested using **Principal Component Analysis (PCA)** to identify latent patterns in the grid behavior.
- However, unsupervised learning resulted in **low prediction accuracy**, indicating the need for supervised appr …