Burkifa23/Food-Price-Forecasting-in-Rwanda-R

# Food Price Forecasting in Rwanda ## Overview This project analyzes and forecasts food prices in Rwanda using time series data from the United Nations Humanitarian Data Exchange Global Food Price Database. Agriculture constitutes over 30% of Rwanda's economy and over 60% of its export earnings (CIA World Factbook), making food price analysis critical for understanding the livelihood of many Rwandans. ## Dataset The project includes price data for **nine agricultural commodities** spanning from **2008 to 2015**: - Beans (dry) - Cassava - Chili (red) - Maize - Oranges (big size) - Peas (fresh) - Potatoes (Irish) - Sorghum - Tomatoes ### Data Structure Each CSV file in the `data/` folder contains the following columns: | Column | Description | |--------|------------| | `adm0_id` | Country code. Always 215 (int) | | `adm0_name` | Country name. Always "Rwanda" (char) | | `adm1_id` | Region code (int) | | `adm1_name` | Region name (chr) | | `mkt_id` | Market code (int) | | `mkt_name` | Market name (chr) | | `cm_id` | Commodity code (int) | | `cm_name` | Commodity name (chr) | | `cur_id` | Currency code. Always 77 (int) | | `cur_name` | Currency name. Always "RWF" (chr) | | `pt_id` | Price type code. Always 15 (int) | | `pt_name` | Price type name. Always "Retail" (chr) | | `um_id` | Unit of measurement code (int) | | `um_name` | Unit of measurement name. Always "KG" (chr) | | `mp_month` | Month when price occurred (int) | | `mp_year` | Year when price occurred. 2008 to 2015 (int) | | `mp_price` | Price of 1 unit of commodity in currency (dbl) | | `mp_commoditysource` | Data source. Always "MINAGRI" (chr) | ### Geographic Coverage The data covers multiple regions of Rwanda: - **West** (Iburengerazuba) - **North** (Amajyaruguru) - **Kigali City** - **East** (Iburasirazuba) Markets include: Birambo, Rusine, Nyamirambo, and others across the country. ## Project Structure ``` . ├── data/ # CSV files for each commodity │ ├── Beans (dry).cs …