DavePrakrut/CropCast

Built a dual-state (Gujarat & Maharashtra) crop price forecasting system predicting mandi prices 1–30 days ahead for 3 crops (Wheat, Tomato, Onion) using a Hybrid ARIMAX + MLP Neural Network pipeline. # 🌾 CropCast – Hybrid Crop Price Forecasting System > AI-powered crop price forecasting using a Hybrid ARIMAX + Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) model for agricultural market intelligence. --- # 📖 Overview CropCast is an AI-driven crop price forecasting platform designed to help farmers, traders, researchers, and policymakers estimate future mandi prices before selling agricultural produce. Unlike traditional forecasting systems that rely on a single statistical model, CropCast combines **ARIMAX** (for capturing linear trends) with a **Multi-Layer Perceptron Neural Network** (for learning nonlinear residual patterns), resulting in significantly improved forecasting performance for highly volatile crops. The system currently supports: - 🌾 Wheat - 🍅 Tomato - 🧅 Onion across - Gujarat - Maharashtra using historical AGMARKNET market data, engineered weather features, seasonal indicators, and market statistics. --- # 🚨 Problem Statement Agricultural commodity prices fluctuate dramatically due to: - Seasonal production - Rainfall variability - Market arrivals - Demand fluctuations - Government policies For example: - Tomato prices can vary from ₹200 to ₹8,000 per quintal. - Onion prices frequently collapse during harvest season. - Farmers often sell without knowing future price trends. CropCast aims to reduce this uncertainty through data-driven forecasting. --- # ✨ Key Features ## Machine Learning - Hybrid ARIMAX + MLP architecture - Time-series forecasting - Residual learning - Feature engineering pipeline - Chronological train-test split - No data leakage --- ## Data Engineering - Automated preprocessing pipeline - Outlier removal using IQR - Missing value handling - Feature normalization - Rolling statistics - Lag features - Seasonal encoding - Weather integration --- ## Cloud Integration - Supabase PostgreSQL database - REST API uploads - Prediction storage - Metrics storage - Feature storage --- ## Dashboard Interactive dashboard displ …