DEMILADE07/Sovereign-Africa-Debt

# Unraveling Africa's Sovereign Debt Crisis Data-driven dashboard for analyzing fiscal stability and debt sustainability across African countries. ## Overview This project analyzes fiscal and economic data from 14 African countries to identify drivers of budget deficits, forecast future fiscal positions, and provide evidence-based policy recommendations aligned with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). ## Features - **Interactive Dashboard**: Real-time fiscal monitoring with Streamlit - **Predictive Analytics**: 3-year forecasts using linear regression models - **SDG Impact Analysis**: Connection between fiscal policies and development outcomes - **Risk Assessment**: Identification of high-risk countries with worsening trends - **Policy Recommendations**: Evidence-based interventions prioritized by impact ## Dataset - **23,713 records** across 14 countries - **24 indicators** including budget deficits, GDP, inflation, debt, and more - **Time range**: 1960-2025 - **9 countries** with complete budget deficit data for modeling ## Key Findings 1. **100% of analyzed countries** have persistent budget deficits 2. **Expenditure** is the strongest driver of deficits (correlation: -0.946) 3. **Government Debt** shows strong negative correlation (-0.905) 4. **GDP growth and fiscal balance** have weak correlation (0.076) - growth alone doesn't fix deficits 5. **Nigeria, Egypt, Ethiopia** identified as high-risk countries ## Installation ```bash pip install -r requirements.txt ``` ## Usage Run the Streamlit dashboard: ```bash streamlit run app.py ``` The dashboard includes: - Overview of fiscal metrics - SDG impact analysis - Analysis & insights with key drivers - 3-year predictions - Policy recommendations - Interactive forecast tool ## Project Structure ``` . ├── app.py # Main Streamlit dashboard ├── data_loader.py # Data processing and analysis functions ├── requirements.txt # Python dependencies ├── presentation.html # Pr …