Gelilaaah/ethiopia-fi-forecast

# 📈 Forecasting Financial Inclusion in Ethiopia ## Overview This project develops a forecasting system that tracks Ethiopia's digital financial transformation using time series analysis, event-impact modeling, and interactive visualizations. The objective is to forecast the country's financial inclusion progress for 2025–2027 by analyzing historical financial inclusion indicators, policy interventions, product launches, and infrastructure developments. The project was completed as part of the 10 Academy AI Mastery Program. --- ## Business Problem Ethiopia's financial sector has undergone significant digital transformation through initiatives such as: - Telebirr - M-Pesa Ethiopia - EthSwitch interoperability - National Financial Inclusion Strategy (NFIS-II) - Fayda Digital ID Despite rapid mobile money adoption, financial inclusion has grown more slowly than expected. This project answers the following questions: - What factors drive financial inclusion in Ethiopia? - How do policies, product launches, and infrastructure investments influence financial inclusion? - How will Account Ownership and Digital Payment Usage evolve in 2025–2027? --- ## Objectives - Explore and enrich Ethiopia's financial inclusion dataset - Perform Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) - Model the impact of major financial events - Forecast financial inclusion indicators - Build an interactive Streamlit dashboard for stakeholders --- ## Project Structure ethiopia-fi-forecast/ │ ├── .github/ │ └── workflows/ │ └── unittests.yml │ ├── data/ │ ├── raw/ │ └── processed/ │ ├── notebooks/ │ ├── src/ │ ├── dashboard/ │ └── app.py │ ├── models/ │ ├── reports/ │ └── figures/ │ ├── tests/ │ ├── requirements.txt ├── README.md └── .gitignore --- ## Dataset The project uses a unified financial inclusion dataset containing: - Financial inclusion observations - National policy events - Product launches - …