Helina-Leul/ethiopia-fi-forecast

# 📊 Forecasting Financial Inclusion in Ethiopia > **A data science project that models, analyzes, and forecasts Ethiopia's digital financial transformation using Global Findex indicators, event impact modeling, and interactive visualization.** --- ## 📖 Project Overview Financial inclusion plays a critical role in economic growth by enabling individuals and businesses to access formal financial services. Ethiopia has experienced rapid digital financial transformation through initiatives such as **Telebirr**, **M-Pesa Ethiopia**, **Fayda Digital ID**, and the **National Financial Inclusion Strategy (NFIS-II)**. This project develops a forecasting system that helps policymakers, financial institutions, and development organizations understand how digital financial services are expected to evolve between **2025 and 2027**. The analysis combines historical financial inclusion indicators, national events, infrastructure developments, and policy interventions to estimate future trends using data-driven forecasting techniques. --- # 🎯 Business Problem Selam Analytics has been engaged by a consortium of financial institutions and policymakers to answer several strategic questions: * What drives financial inclusion in Ethiopia? * How do policy reforms and digital financial services influence adoption? * What is the expected trajectory of financial inclusion between 2025 and 2027? * Which events have the greatest impact on financial inclusion indicators? * How can uncertainty in future projections be communicated effectively? --- # 🎯 Project Objectives The project aims to: * Explore Ethiopia's financial inclusion ecosystem * Enrich the provided financial inclusion dataset * Analyze historical trends and relationships * Model the impact of major national events * Forecast financial inclusion indicators for 2025–2027 * Build an interactive Streamlit dashboard for decision-makers --- # 📂 Project Structure ```text ethiopia-fi-forecast/ ├── dashboard/ │ └── app. …