Kalalayu/ethiopia-fi-forecast

A data science project for analyzing and forecasting financial inclusion trends in Ethiopia using structured datasets, statistical analysis, and interactive dashboards. # Ethiopia Financial Inclusion Analytics Platform **Tasks 1–5 | Data Engineering, Analysis, Forecasting & Visualization** ## 📌 Project Summary This project examines the evolution of financial inclusion in Ethiopia, with a particular focus on **account ownership** and **digital payment adoption**. By combining historical data, event-driven insights, and forward-looking forecasts, the project delivers an analytics dashboard designed to support policymakers, financial institutions, and development partners to: - Analyze long-term inclusion trends - Assess the influence of policy, telecom, and market events - Compare alternative future scenarios - Monitor progress toward the **60% financial inclusion benchmark** The work is organized into **five sequential tasks**, progressing from data preparation to interactive dashboard delivery. --- ## ✅ Task 1: Data Collection & Harmonization ### Objective Compile and prepare diverse financial inclusion datasets into a single, analysis-ready resource. ### Key Steps - Collected raw datasets covering: - Account ownership - Digital payments and mobile money usage - Standardized variable names, data types, and formats - Normalized fiscal year representations (e.g., FY2022/23 → 2022) - Converted indicators into consistent numeric measures - Exported the unified dataset to: `data/processed/ethiopia_fi_unified_data.csv` ### Output ✔ A clean, structured dataset suitable for downstream analysis and modeling --- ## 📊 Task 2: Exploratory Analysis & Event Assessment ### Objective Understand historical patterns and identify how major events have shaped financial inclusion outcomes. ### Key Activities - Time-series analysis of: - Account ownership rates - Digital payment usage - Annotation of significant events (policy reforms, telecom competition, mobile money expansion) - Correlation analysis between key indicators - Visual detection of structural breaks and growth accelerations ### Key Insight Digital payment usage has expanded …