# kenya-subcounty-heat-hvi
# Thirty-Five Years of Accelerating Heat Stress in Kenya
**Subnational Hazard, Exposure Burden, and Vulnerability in Priority Populations**
Felix Oluoch¹² · Fredrick Gudda¹²
¹ Department of Population Health, Aga Khan University, Nairobi, Kenya
² Institute for Global Health and Development, Aga Khan University, East Africa
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## Overview
This repository contains the analysis code supporting the manuscript:
> *Thirty-Five Years of Accelerating Heat Stress in Kenya: Subnational Hazard, Exposure Burden, And Vulnerability in Priority Populations*
We conducted a nationwide ecological panel study characterising heat hazard, exposure burden, and heat vulnerability across all 290 sub-counties of Kenya, focusing on **pregnant women**, **children under five**, and **adults aged 60 and older** (2015–2025), with extended climatological context from 1991 to 2025.
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## Key Findings
- National population-weighted mean days exceeding 38°C (H38) increased significantly from 1991–2025 (Sen slope 0.97 days/year; *p* **Note:** Replace `ee-felixoluoch` with your own Google Earth Engine project ID before running.
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## Outputs
The script generates the following CSV files:
| File | Description |
|---|---|
| `kenya_adm2_60plus_population_2015-2030.csv` | Total/female/male 60+ population per sub-county per year |
| `kenya_adm2_0_4_population_2015-2030.csv` | Total/female/male 0–4 population per sub-county per year |
| `kenya_adm2_infants_2015-2030.csv` | Infant (0–12 months) population per sub-county per year |
| `kenya_adm2_wra_2015-2030.csv` | Women of reproductive age (15–49) per sub-county per year |
| `kenya_subcounty_population_and_events_2015-2030.csv` | Combined: infants, WRA, estimated births & pregnancies |
| `kenya_adm2_boundaries_indexed.geojson` | ADM2 boundaries with `object_id` property |
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## Citation
*Manuscript under review. Citation details will be updated upon publication.*
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## Archive
The first archived release o …