MAYSHLMAY/ethiopia-fi-forecast

# Forecasting Financial Inclusion in Ethiopia **Project Status:** Final Submission (Tasks 1–5 Complete) **Author:** Mikiyas Dawit **Date:** February 3, 2026 --- ## 📌 Project Overview This project delivers a comprehensive forecasting system tracking Ethiopia's digital financial transformation. As a Data Scientist for **Selam Analytics**, I have developed a model to predict financial inclusion trajectories for the 2025–2027 period. The system bridges the gap between sparse triennial survey data (Global Findex) and high-frequency market events. By quantifying the "shocks" of major milestones—such as the **Telebirr launch**, **M-Pesa entry**, and **National ID (Fayda) rollout**—the model provides a scenario-based outlook on Ethiopia's path toward a 60% inclusion rate. --- ## 🚀 Interactive Dashboard The core deliverable is a **Streamlit Dashboard** that allows stakeholders to explore event impacts and toggle between economic scenarios in real-time. **To run the dashboard locally:** 1. Ensure you have the requirements installed: ```bash pip install -r requirements.txt ``` 2. Launch the application: ```bash streamlit run dashboard/app.py ``` --- ## 📂 Repository Structure ```text C:. │ data_enrichment_log.md # Detailed log of Task 1 data additions │ README.md # Project documentation │ requirements.txt # Python dependencies │ ├───.github/workflows # CI/CD Unit tests ├───dashboard │ app.py # Interactive Streamlit application │ ├───data │ ├───processed # Enriched data & Generated forecasts │ │ ethiopia_fi_enriched.csv │ │ forecast_access.csv │ │ forecast_usage.csv │ └───raw # Raw unified data & reference codes │ additional_data_points.csv │ ethiopia_fi_unified_data.csv │ reference_codes.csv │ ├───models # Saved model artifacts ├───notebooks # Task-specific analy …