meba-tesfaye/ethiopia-fi-forecast

# 🇪🇹 Ethiopia Financial Inclusion Forecasting Engine An advanced forecasting framework designed to model, trace, and project unique individual account ownership (**ACCESS**) and digital transaction adoption (**USAGE**) trajectories in Ethiopia (2014–2027). Prepared under the structural parameters of Selam Analytics. --- ## 📂 Repository Architecture ```text ethiopia-fi-forecast/ ├── dashboard/ │ └── app.py # Streamlit interactive scenario dashboard (Task 5) ├── data/ │ ├── raw/ │ │ ├── ethiopia_fi_unified_data.csv# Primary unified source file │ │ └── reference_codes.csv # Reference indicators catalog │ └── processed/ │ └── ethiopia_fi_enriched.csv # Enriched matrix containing active impact links ├── notebooks/ │ ├── plots/ # Exported EDA and forecast visual assets │ └── ethiopia_fi_eda.ipynb # Interactive exploratory data analysis notebook ├── src/ │ ├── eda_engine.py # Automated trajectory and velocity analysis engine │ ├── impact_model.py # Event-Indicator Association Engine (Task 3) │ └── forecaster.py # 2025–2027 forecasting engine with 95% CI (Task 4) ├── data_enrichment_log.md # Detailed parameters & empirical evidence log ├── interim_eda_summary.md # Interim submission evaluation summary ├── generate_interim_report.py # Native pipeline report generator script ├── fix_timeline.py # Asset generator for timeline overlay plot ├── fix_usage.py # Asset generator for usage saturation plot └── README.md # Project documentation