Resolve the source of residual Plasmodium falciparum transmission in western Gambia, using whole-genome parasite connectivity.
# Gambia malaria connectivity — Importation versus local transmission
PhD analysis (Objective 3) resolving the source of residual *Plasmodium falciparum* transmission in western Gambia, using whole-genome parasite connectivity. We ask whether residual malaria in low-prevalence western regions is sustained by **local transmission**, **importation from the higher-transmission eastern Gambia**, or **cross-border importation from Senegal**, and whether that balance is shifting as The Gambia approaches elimination.
This work extends Amambua-Ngwa et al. (2019) — which used 54-SNP barcodes to detect 60 directional transmission events — into WGS resolution, removing four constraints simultaneously: barcode resolution, p-distance recombination artefacts, polyclonal infections, and absence of Senegalese comparators.
## Project structure
```
codes/ # Analysis scripts (phase-based + exploratory variants)
phase1_01_wgs_qc.R
phase1_02_coi_stratification.R
phase1_03_sample_annotation.R
phase2_01_fst_ibd_mantel.R
phase2_02_pca_admixture.R
phase2_02_pca_lea.R
phase2_02_pca_lea_extendK.R
phase2_03_hmmibd.R
phase3_01_supervised_admixture.R
phase3_02_directional_ibd.R
phase3_03_isolation.R
clustering_approaches.R
clustering_approaches_v1.R
data/ # Primary genomics inputs and metadata
gambia.vcf
senegam_pf.vcf
gambia_2014isolates/
metadata/
notes/ # Study plan and modelling notes
objective3_proposal.md
objective3_proposal.docx
directional_connectivity_Amambua-Ngwamodel.md
results/ # Script outputs organized by phase
phase1_01/
phase1_02/
phase1_03/
phase2_01/
phase2_02_lea/
phase2_03/
phase3_01/
phase3_02/
phase3_03/
phase4_01/
tools/
hmmIBD/ # Local helper assets/utilities for hmmIBD workflows
gambia-malaria-connectivity.Rproj # RStudio project entry point
CLAUDE.md # Local coding- …