Exploratory analysis of synthetic routine immunisation data coverage across Kano, Lagos and Anambra states, 2022-2024
# Nigeria Routine Immunisation Coverage Analysis (2022-2024)
This project examines routine immunisation coverage trends across three Nigerian
states (Kano, Lagos, and Anambra), with a focus on identifying zero-dose children,
urban-rural equity gaps, vaccine dropout patterns, and making actionable
recommendations for targeted outreach by identifying facility types associated
with better coverage outcomes.
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## Data Disclaimer
The dataset used in this project is **synthetic**. It was generated using Claude
(Anthropic) to mimic realistic Nigerian immunisation data trends, informed by
actual EPI programme structure, NPHCDA reporting conventions, and known
state-level coverage patterns. It is intended solely for the purpose of
demonstrating public health data analysis skills.
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## Data Structure
- 20,520 observations across 26 variables
- Three states: Kano (North-West), Lagos (South-West), Anambra (South-East)
- 10 LGAs per state (30 total), classified as urban or rural
- 19 vaccine antigens across 6 age-based groups (birth doses through 15-month doses)
- Monthly data spanning January 2022 to December 2024
- Key variables include: state, LGA, setting, facility type, vaccine, vaccine group,
eligible children, children vaccinated, coverage rate, zero-dose children,
zero-dose rate, and dropout rate (Penta1 to Penta3)
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## Analysis Structure
| Script | Description |
|--------|-------------|
| `01_data_cleaning.R` | Data loading, column renaming, type conversion, and validation |
| `02_coverage_analysis.R` | Coverage summaries by state, setting, vaccine group, facility type, and target disease — includes Welch's ANOVA and Games-Howell post-hoc tests |
| `03_lga_analysis.R` | LGA-level coverage variation and ranking within each state |
| `04_zero_dose_analysis.R` | Zero-dose burden, dropout rates, and missed vaccination drivers by state and setting |
| `05_trend_analysis.R` | Quarterly immunisation coverage trends across 2022-2024 |
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## Tools
- **R versio …