parisaayoubi/uganda-hiv-conflict-analysis

District-level analysis of HIV burden and conflict exposure in Uganda using UCDP GED and Uganda AIDS Commission data. # Uganda HIV Burden and Conflict Exposure: A District-Level Analysis ## Overview This project examines the relationship between conflict exposure and HIV burden across districts in Uganda by integrating district-level HIV estimates from the Uganda AIDS Commission with conflict event data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset. Interest in this project emerged from a broader interest in how conflict, displacement, and institutional fragility shape population health. Discussions of HIV often focus on healthcare access, poverty, education, stigma, and behavioral risk factors, yet conflict receives less attention despite its potential to disrupt treatment systems, displace communities, alter patterns of mobility, and weaken public institutions that support health. At the same time, the relationship between conflict and HIV is unlikely to be straightforward. Areas experiencing prolonged insecurity may exhibit elevated HIV burden, but they may also benefit from targeted humanitarian interventions, international assistance, or resilient local health systems. Understanding how these forces interact requires moving beyond national averages and examining variation at a more local level. Using district-level HIV estimates and georeferenced conflict data, I explored whether districts experiencing greater conflict exposure also exhibit higher HIV prevalence and differences in antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage. The project combines epidemiologic analysis with spatial conflict data to investigate how insecurity and health intersect within a single national context. ## Research Question How is conflict exposure associated with HIV outcomes across districts in Uganda? More specifically: * Do districts experiencing greater conflict-related mortality exhibit higher HIV prevalence? * Is HIV prevalence associated with the frequency of conflict events? * Does ART coverage vary across districts with differing levels of conflict exposure? * Whi …