Algerian Forest Fire Risk Prediction
📌 Project Overview
This project focuses on predicting forest fire risk using meteorological data from the Algerian Forest Fires dataset. The goal is to analyze weather conditions and Fire Weather Index (FWI) components to identify high-risk fire scenarios using machine learning techniques.
đź“‚ Dataset
Source: Algerian Forest Fires Dataset
Features: Temperature, Relative Humidity, Wind Speed, Rainfall, and Fire Weather Index (FWI) variables
Target: Fire occurrence (Fire / No Fire)
🛠️ Tech Stack
Programming: Python
Libraries: Pandas, NumPy, Matplotlib, Seaborn, Scikit-learn
Tools: Jupyter Notebook, Google Colab
🔍 Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)
Analyzed data distribution, trends, and correlations
Identified key factors influencing fire occurrence
Detected class imbalance and feature relationships
Visualized insights using Matplotlib and Seaborn
⚙️ Data Preprocessing
Handled missing and inconsistent values
Corrected data types and encoded categorical variables
Scaled numerical features
Performed feature selection and engineering to reduce multicollinearity
🤖 Machine Learning Models
The following models were implemented and evaluated:
Logistic Regression
Decision Tree
Random Forest
Support Vector Machine (SVM)
📊 Model Evaluation
Models were compared using:
Accuracy
Precision
Recall
F1-Score
Confusion Matrix
Hyperparameter tuning and cross-validation were applied to improve performance.
âś… Results
Identified the most effective model for predicting forest fire risk
Achieved reliable performance in classifying high-risk fire conditions
Demonstrated practical application of machine learning in environmental risk analysis
🚀 Conclusion
This project showcases end-to-end data analysis and machine learning workflow, from EDA and preprocessing to model building and evaluation, highlighting the use of data-driven techniques for environmental safety and decision-making.