Rabiya-Abdulnassir/ethiopia-fi-forecast

--- # Task 1: Data Exploration and Enrichment ## Completed - Loaded and reviewed Ethiopia financial inclusion datasets. - Analyzed: - Indicators - Events - Sources - Confidence levels - Time coverage - Added additional useful data: - Mobile money indicators - Infrastructure metrics - Financial inclusion events - Event-impact relationships - Created enrichment documentation. --- # Task 2: Exploratory Data Analysis ## Completed Performed analysis on: ### Access - Account ownership trends - Growth rates - Gender gaps - Mobile money adoption ### Usage - Digital payment trends - Mobile money usage - Payment channels ### Infrastructure Analyzed relationships between: - Mobile penetration - 4G coverage - ATM availability - Financial inclusion outcomes ### Key Insights - Mobile money expansion increased access opportunities. - Registered accounts do not always represent active usage. - Infrastructure growth supports financial inclusion. - Gender gaps remain a challenge. - Limited historical survey data creates forecasting uncertainty. --- # Task 3: Event Impact Modeling ## Completed Built an event-impact framework connecting: - Policies - Product launches - Infrastructure investments to financial inclusion indicators. Examples: | Event | Impact | |-|-| | Telebirr Launch | Increased mobile money adoption | | M-Pesa Entry | Increased competition and digital access | | Infrastructure Expansion | Improved financial access | Created: - Event-indicator matrix - Impact assumptions - Validation analysis --- # Task 4: Forecasting ## Objective Forecast financial inclusion from: 2025-2027 ## Forecast Indicators - Account Ownership - Digital Payment Usage ## Scenarios ### Baseline Current trend continues. ### Optimistic Faster adoption and stronger digital ecosystem. ### Pessimistic Slower growth due to adoption barriers. Forecast outputs include: - Future values - Scenario comparisons - Uncertainty considerations --- # Task 5: Dashboard Develo …