rache3/elections-busing-zones-ghana

Spatial forensic study mapping potential electoral “busing” zones in Ghana, with a focus on border towns and high-risk electoral areas, to support monitoring and integrity of the 2024 general elections. Mapping Potential Electoral Busing Zones in Ghana Overview This project explores potential electoral “busing” zones in Ghana — areas where illegal voter transportation (busing) is likely to occur, particularly along border towns and high-risk electoral areas. Using spatial analysis, the study provides a framework for monitoring electoral malpractice in the 2024 General Elections. Objectives Detect electoral areas vulnerable to busing practices. Map border towns and roads that may facilitate cross-border voter transport. Provide spatial intelligence for election observers and policy actors. Data Sources Polling data: Electoral Commission of Ghana electoral boundaries and polling stations. Borders: GADM and national boundary datasets. Transport: OpenStreetMap road networks. Contextual evidence: Historical reports on electoral malpractice hotspots. Methods Created spatial buffers around border zones. Analyzed road networks and access routes into Ghanaian electoral areas. Overlaid polling stations within proximity to borders and cross-border roads. Classified electoral areas into risk categories based on spatial patterns. Key Outputs Risk maps of potential busing-prone electoral areas. Geodatabase of identified hotspots. Framework for election monitoring and fraud prevention. Applications Strengthening Ghana’s electoral integrity. Guiding observer missions and election monitoring NGOs. Academic contribution to spatial forensics in electoral studies.