Geospatial analysis of population density and growth dynamics (2015-2025) across West Africa using Geopandas, Rasterio, and Zonal Statistics. Built with Python.
# Spatial Dynamics of West Africa: Population Density & Growth (2015-2025)
> **Geographic Data Science Project | University of Liverpool**
## 🌍 Project Overview
This project provides a comprehensive geospatial analysis of population shifts across West African nations (including Nigeria, Ghana, Mali, and Niger). By integrating vector administrative boundaries with high-resolution raster population data, the study visualizes a decade of demographic change and identifies key urban growth corridors.
### **Key Discovery:**
The analysis reveals a significant "Southern Shift," with population density increasing sharply toward coastal hubs like Lagos and Accra, contrasted against the environmental constraints of the Sahara-bordering regions in the north.
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## 🛠️ Spatial Tech Stack
* **Core GIS:** `Geopandas`, `Shapely`
* **Raster Analysis:** `Rasterio`, `Rasterstats` (Zonal Statistics)
* **Basemaps & Network Data:** `Contextily`, `OSMNX`
* **Projections:** Handled coordinate reference systems (CRS) using Africa Albers Equal Area Conic (`ESRI:102022`).
## 🧪 Methodology & Technical Rigor
This project goes beyond basic mapping by implementing professional-grade spatial analysis techniques:
* **Projection Accuracy:** To ensure density calculations were mathematically sound, I reprojected all datasets into **Africa Albers Equal Area Conic**. This avoids the significant area distortions found in standard Mercator projections when measuring regional density.
* **Zonal Statistics:** Extracted population data from high-resolution raster files and aggregated them into Level 1 administrative regions using `rasterstats`.
* **Non-Linear Growth Modeling:** Categorized 10-year population growth using non-linear bins to highlight "extreme growth" regions, providing a clearer picture of rapid urbanization.
* **Environmental Context:** Correlated density patterns with environmental factors, specifically the impact of the Sahara Desert on northern settlement patterns.
## 📊 Visualiz …