ronnyelon/Kenya-Ev-Market-Analysis

# ⚡ Kenya EV Market Analysis & Portfolio Project An end-to-end data analytics project exploring the electric vehicle (EV) transition, micro-mobility trends, charging infrastructure deficits, and grid load forecasting in Kenya up to 2030. ## 📌 Project Overview Unlike Western EV transitions which are heavily driven by private passenger cars, East Africa's EV revolution is commercial, fast-paced, and anchored in micro-mobility. This project analyzes five distinct datasets to uncover the economic drivers, infrastructure bottlenecks, and future grid impacts of Kenya's rapidly growing e-mobility sector. ### Key Objectives * **Adoption Trends:** Track historical registration patterns (2018–2024) across vehicle classes. * **Infrastructure Deficits:** Map operational charging/swapping networks to identify geographic supply gaps. * **Unit Economics:** Compare real-world petrol costs against e-mobility electricity tariffs. * **Grid Capacity Forecasting:** Model compounding EV growth and baseline power grid requirements up to 2030. * **Hardware Benchmarking:** Evaluate battery performance and range efficiency ($km/kWh$) across manufacturers. --- ## 📊 Core Data Architecture & Insights The analysis is broken down into five core phases, utilizing the following structured datasets: ### 1. Market Adoption Trend Analysis (`kenya_ev_adoption.csv`) * **Insight:** The market is highly asymmetrical. Motorcycles (*e-boda bodas*) represent **76.8%** of all cumulative EV registrations (68,623 units out of 89,301 total). * **Growth:** Following a flat consolidation phase in 2023 (+2.6% YoY), the market experienced an **81.8% surge in 2024**, driven by commercial fleet rollouts and supportive national policies. ### 2. Infrastructure Deficit Mapping (`kenya_charging_infra.csv`) * **Insight:** Industry players are optimizing infrastructure for high-frequency trading assets over standard passenger cars. **Battery Swap Stations (29 locations)** outnumbe …