To estimate the impact of an education support program on pupil learning outcomes among Primary 5 and Primary 6 students in a government primary school in rural Uganda. The project demonstrates the application of causal inference methods commonly used in education, development, and social policy evaluations.
## Impact Evaluation of an Education Support Program in Rural Uganda
## Project Overview
This project evaluates the impact of a hypothetical education support program on learning outcomes among Primary 5 and Primary 6 pupils in a government primary school in rural Uganda.
Using synthetic data, the project demonstrates the application of causal inference methods commonly used in Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E), education research, social policy evaluation, and development economics.
The analysis follows a structured impact evaluation workflow, beginning with exploratory analysis and progressing through increasingly rigorous estimation approaches.
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## Evaluation Question
**What is the effect of an education support program on pupil learning outcomes?**
Specifically, the project estimates the impact of program participation on pupil test scores using quasi-experimental methods.
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## Intervention
The hypothetical education support program includes:
- Remedial reading sessions
- Mathematics tutoring
- Teacher coaching
- Learning materials
- Attendance monitoring
The program targets Primary 5 and Primary 6 pupils and aims to improve learning outcomes through enhanced instructional support and pupil engagement.
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## Theory of Change
```text
Education Support Program
↓
Improved Learning Environment
↓
Higher Attendance and Study Effort
↓
Improved Academic Performance
↓
Higher Test Scores
```
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## Data
The dataset was synthetically generated for educational and portfolio purposes.
### Dataset Characteristics
- 240 pupils
- Primary 5 and Primary 6 learners
- Treatment and comparison groups
- Baseline and endline observations
- Total observations: 480
### Variables
- Student ID
- Class Level
- Gender
- Treatment Status
- Attendance Rate
- Weekly Study Hours
- Test Score
- Survey Round (Baseline/Endline)
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## Methods
The project applies four analytical approaches:
### 1. Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)
- Descriptive statistics
- Distributio …