TechDiva001/inflation-price-prediction-project

My first end-to-end machine learning project: Forecasting Ghana's inflation using economic data. Demonstrates data science skills with real-world application. # 📈 Ghana Inflation Prediction using Machine Learning ## 🌟 Project Overview This project predicts Ghana's inflation rates for 2026-2030 using historical economic data and machine learning. The model helps policymakers and economists forecast economic trends. ## 🎯 Business Problem Ghana faces significant inflation fluctuations that impact economic stability. This project provides data-driven forecasts to support better decision-making. ## 📊 Project Files ### `Predicted_Inflation_for_2026_2030.ipynb` **Notebook Overview** End-to-end machine learning project predicting Ghana's inflation rates using XGBoost and economic indicators. **Project Structure** 1. **Data Loading & Exploration** - Understanding the dataset 2. **Data Preprocessing** - Handling missing values and feature engineering 3. **Model Development** - XGBoost implementation with hyperparameter tuning 4. **Model Validation** - Cross-validation and performance evaluation 5. **Future Predictions** - Inflation forecasts for 2026-2030 6. **Visualization** - Charts and graphs for insights **Key Features** - Complete ML pipeline from data cleaning to deployment - 10-fold cross-validation for robust model evaluation - Feature importance analysis - Interactive visualizations - 5-year inflation forecasts ### `Ghana Economic Data1.csv` **Dataset Overview** Historical economic indicators for Ghana from 1990 to 2025, containing key macroeconomic variables used for inflation prediction modeling. **Columns Description** - **Year**: Calendar year (1990-2025) - **GDP Per Capita (Current US$)**: Economic output per person - **GDP (Current US$)**: Total economic output - **Inflation Consumer Prices (Annual %)**: Target variable - annual inflation rate - **Inflation GDP Deflator (Annual %)**: Alternative inflation measure - **Consumer Price Index (CPI)**: Price level index for goods and services - **Exchange Rate**: Local currency units per US dollar **Source**: World Bank Open Data & Ghana Statistical Service ## Te …