Hypergraph edge-weight time series linking 87 JSE-listed securities to 34 Eskom transmission grid nodes (January 2015 to December 2025, T=2870 trading days, 340 hyperedges). Supports IST-02 CASCADEnt/VORTEX and IST-03 PHYSAN research series by Prof. N.D. Moroke, North-West University, South Africa.
This dataset supports the paper "Infrastructure-Induced Geometric Compression in an Emerging Financial Market" (Moroke, 2026, Emerging Markets Review, under review).
Contents:- eskom_stages_2015_2026.csv: Daily peak load-shedding stage (integer 0–6) for South Africa, 1 January 2015 to 30 April 2026. Sources: Eskom published schedules, CSIR energy reports, EskomSePush archive.- eskom_stages_trading_days.csv: Business-day version of the above, forward-filled for weekends and public holidays.- jse_panel.csv: Daily adjusted closing prices for 15 JSE Top40 securities, January 2015 to April 2026 (Yahoo Finance).- shredi_combined.csv: Final merged analysis dataset — 7 asset return series plus Eskom stage and regime classification, N=2,838 trading days.- shredi_7asset_pipeline.py: Complete reproducible Python pipeline producing all results in the paper.- shredi_all_results.json: All numerical results from pipeline.- build_eskom_zenodo.py: Script to rebuild the Eskom stage series from documented public record.
This dataset also supports the paper:
Moroke, N.D. (2026). TENSORnet: A Physics-Informed Entropy Protocol for Infrastructure-Induced Metabolic Arrest Detection in Cross-Asset Financial Networks. Computation (MDPI), under review.
Moroke, N. D. TENSORnet: A Physics-Informed Entropy Protocol for Infrastructure-Induced Metabolic Arrest Detection in Cross-Asset Financial Networks. Preprints 2026, 2026051670.
doi.org
The TENSORnet paper uses the JSE panel data (jse_panel.csv), Eskom load-shedding stages (eskom_stages_trading_days.csv), and the hypergraph edge-weight time series to construct the Topological Entropy Network Stress Operator and validate metabolic arrest detection across 87 JSE securities coupled to 34 Eskom transmission nodes over T=2,870 trading days (January 2015 – December 2025).
This dataset also supports: Moroke, N.D. (2026). Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Jamming Physics in Infrastructure-Constrained Markets: The MERI Framework. Modelling (MDPI), under review. Uses jse_7asset_returns_2015_2026.csv for EGARCH-GED calibration and eskom_stages_trading_days.csv as the infrastructure stress target (seed=42 simulation).
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20008530
This dataset also supports:
Moroke, N.D. (2026). Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Jamming
Physics in Infrastructure-Constrained Markets: The MERI Framework.
Modelling (MDPI), under review.
Uses:
- jse_7asset_returns_2015_2026.csv — EGARCH-GED calibration parameters
estimated from these real returns (seed=42 simulation)
- eskom_stages_trading_days.csv — infrastructure stress target (Stage 4+)
--- SARDINE: Fuzzy-Gated Stochastic Diffusion for Financial Regime Detection in Fractal Long-Memory Emerging Markets
SARDINE (Stochastic Adaptive Regime Detection via Integrated Neuro-Fuzzy Estimation) is the fourth paper in the IST-02 series on JSE financial network analysis. The IST-02 series applies physics-informed neural architectures to the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) and Eskom infrastructure-coupled dataset. The series includes:- CASCADEnt (entropy-network topology)- TENSORnet (tensor decomposition)- S-NODE-ANFRRC (deterministic neural ODE baseline)- SARDINE (fuzzy-gated stochastic diffusion — this paper)
DATASET CONTENTSThis repository contains the IST-02/IST-03 JSE-Eskom Infrastructure-Coupled Financial Network Dataset:
1. jse_7asset_returns_2015_2026.csv (310 kB) Daily closing prices for 17 JSE Top40 securities across 7 sectors (financial services, mining, energy, telecommunications, consumer commodities, diversified financials, insurance), 27 March 2015 to 30 March 2026.
2. eskom_stages_2015_2026.csv (54 kB) Daily Eskom load-shedding stage (Stage 0–8), 2015–2026. Source: beyarkay/eskom-calendar (GitHub).
3. eskom_stages_trading_days.csv (38 kB) Trading-day aligned version of the Eskom load-shedding series, matched to JSE trading calendar.
4. build_eskom_zenodo.py (10 kB) Provenance and build script documenting data sourcing, alignment, and quality checks.
EXOGENOUS COVARIATECBOE Volatility Index (VIX) daily closing levels sourced from Yahoo Finance (ticker: ^VIX). Not included in this archive; publicly available.
TEMPORAL SPLIT USED IN SARDINETraining: 2015–2021 (70%), Validation: 2022 (10%), Test: 2023–2026 (537 days, 20%).
RELATED PUBLICATIONS (IST-02/IST-03 Series)- Moroke, N.D. S-NODE-ANFRRC. Preprints 2026, 2026051066.
doi.org Moroke, N.D. Metabolic Saliency (IST-03). Entropy 2026, 28, 559.
doi.org Moroke, N.D. SARDINE (this paper). Fractal and Fractional, submitted 2026.
CORRESPONDING AUTHORProf. Ntebogang Dinah Moroke | ORCID: 0000-0001-8545-1860Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences, North-West University, Mafikeng Campus, South Africantebo.moroke@nwu.ac.za Hypergraph edge-weight time series and real JSE-Eskom financial market data linking 87 JSE-listed securities to 34 Eskom transmission grid nodes (January 2015 to December 2025, T=2,870 trading days, 340 hyperedges). Supports the IST-02 and IST-03 research series by Prof. N.D. Moroke, North-West University, South Africa.
FILES------ jse_7asset_returns_2015_2026.csv: Real daily adjusted closing prices for 17 JSE-listed securities across nine FTSE/JSE sector classifications, sourced from Yahoo Finance (2015-2026, 310 kB)- eskom_stages_2015_2026.csv: Daily peak Eskom load-shedding stage (integer 0-8), 1 January 2015 to 30 April 2026. Sources: Eskom published schedules, CSIR energy reports, EskomSePush archive- eskom_stages_trading_days.csv: Trading-day aligned version of the Eskom load-shedding series, forward-filled for weekends and public holidays- build_eskom_zenodo.py: Provenance and build script documenting data sourcing, alignment, and quality checks- README.md: Full dataset documentation
SUPPORTED PAPERS----------------1. SHREDI Framework Moroke, N.D. (2026). Statistical Hybrid Riemannian-Ensemble Dimensional Integration: Documenting Jamming Transitions in JSE Financial Networks under Eskom Load-Shedding. Symmetry (MDPI), under review. Preprint DOI: 10.20944/preprints202605.0757.v1 Uses: jse_7asset_returns_2015_2026.csv, eskom_stages_trading_days.csv
2. MERI Framework Moroke, N.D. (2026). Cognitive Big Data Architecture for Real-Time Jamming Transition Detection in Infrastructure- Constrained Financial Markets: The MERI Framework. Big Data and Cognitive Computing (MDPI), submitted May 2026. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20008530 Uses: jse_7asset_returns_2015_2026.csv (real JSE daily returns, EGARCH-GED parameters estimated via MLE), eskom_stages_trading_days.csv (infrastructure stress target, Stage 4+ = Fragile regime label) Key empirical results: 97.3% accuracy, AUC=0.9973, 48-hour Granger lead (F=62.003, p<0.001), 7.78x hysteresis
3. TENSORnet Moroke, N.D. (2026). TENSORnet: A Physics-Informed Entropy Protocol for Infrastructure-Induced Metabolic Arrest Detection in Cross-Asset Financial Networks. Computation (MDPI), under review. Preprint DOI: 10.20944/preprints202605.1670.v1 Uses: jse_panel.csv, eskom_stages_trading_days.csv
4. CASCADEnt / S-NODE-ANFRRC / SARDINE (IST-02 series) Uses: jse_7asset_returns_2015_2026.csv, eskom_stages_2015_2026.csv
METHODOLOGICAL NOTE-------------------All JSE return data are real market observations sourced directly from Yahoo Finance. EGARCH-GED tail shape parameters are estimated from these real returns via maximum likelihood: Resilient regime: nu_hat = 1.87 +/- 0.14 Fragile regime: nu_hat = 1.34 +/- 0.21
Regime labels: Resilient = Stage 0-3 (N=2,173 days, 83.3%); Fragile = Stage 4+ (N=436 days, 16.7%). Stage 6+ episodes absent before 2022, comprising 146 trading days (5.6%) of full sample.
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR--------------------Prof. Ntebogang Dinah MorokeDepartment of Statistics and Operations ResearchNorth-West University, Mafikeng Campus, South AfricaORCID: 0000-0001-8545-1860