Predictive Modeling for Early Warning Systems in Gedo Region Displacement

Abstract

Africa experiences a significant daily displacement rate, with forced IDP accounting for approximately 75%. In 2017, over 2.7 million Africans fled their homes due to conflicts, with the DRC alone accounting for 997,000 IDPs and the Central African Republic accounting for 206,000 displaced persons. Conflict accounts for at least 75% of population displacement in Africa, affecting countries such as Ethiopia, South Sudan, Central African Republic, Somalia, DRC, Sudan, and Nigeria the most. The data on IDPs in Africa highlight the direct threat population displacement poses to political, social, and economic stability and development.