While it may be necessary to secure elite buy-in to peaceful competition, the literature
is pessimistic about the long-term effects of a power-sharing settlement on the quality
of democracy. Designing institutions to guarantee political inclusion is commonly
thought to undermine vertical and horizontal accountability by incentivising rent-seeking
over responsiveness to voters. This study employs data from the Varieties
of Democracy project to test arguments about the pernicious institutional effects of
political power-sharing settlements in post-conflict democracies, relying on a panel
dataset of 28 conflict-prone states in Sub-Saharan Africa since the onset of
democracy’s Third Wave (1990–2021). The analytical technique is a time-series
linear regression distinguishing between upturns and downturns across a range of
continuous measures of accountability (Teorell, Determinants of Democratization). The results show that, in line with much of the literature, political power-sharing
settlements are associated with increasing executive corruption and fewer
improvements in the rule of law. However, none of the other proposed
mechanisms linking political power sharing to poor accountability outcomes finds
consistent or significant support in the cross-national sample. Overall, these
findings suggest that the relatively undemocratic institutional concessions designed
to resolve conflict may not pose the serious barrier to democratic deepening and
consolidation as previously assumed. Stata, 14