Logo Lanfrica

Seasonal patterns, temporal changes, and early-warning forecasting of weekly reported Lassa fever cases in Nigeria, 2020–2025

Domaine:

healthcare

Type de record:

paper
Créateur:
Okh
Éditeur:
Zenodo
Hôte:avatar
This study examines seasonal patterns, temporal changes, and one-week-ahead early-warning forecasting of weekly reported Lassa fever cases in Nigeria from 2020 to 2025. Using publicly available Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and Prevention surveillance data, it characterises recurring seasonal peaks, evaluates season-adjusted changes over time, and compares reproducible forecasting approaches. An interpretable forecast-exceedance warning rule is also demonstrated to support timely outbreak preparedness and public-health decision-making. The study additionally assesses data consistency and discusses discrepancies between compiled surveillance records and final NCDC situation reports. All findings should be interpreted at the national level and within the limitations of routinely reported surveillance data.

Tags

lassa fevernigeriaSurveillanceseasonalityForecastearly warning

Licenses

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode© 2026 Edward Osikem Okhumaile. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence (CC BY 4.0). You may share and adapt the work for any purpose, provided appropriate credit is given to the author, a link to the licence is provided, and any changes are indicated. Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/

Similaires

Edy-King/lassa-fever-weekly-forecasting-2020-2025

Seasonal patterns, temporal changes, and early-warning forecasting of weekly reported Lassa fever ca

Nigeria Lassa Fever GeoJson Data (2020-2025)

Nigeria Lassa Fever GeoJson Data (2020-2025)

Cleaned and formatted geodata sets on Nigeria Lassa Fever (2020-2025).

Seasonal and Climatic Drivers of Lassa Fever Transmission in Nigeria: A Multi-Year Ecological Analysis (2020–2025)

Lassa fever remains a major public health challenge in Nigeria, where recurrent outbreaks continue t

Machine Learning Model for Predicting the Temporal Lassa Fever Confirmed Cases in Nigeria

Lassa fever continues to pose a major public health threat in Nigeria, marked by recurrent outbreaks

Muffin-1234/Lassa-Fever-Epidemiological-Surveillance-Dashboard-2020-2025-

This contains an advanced public health intelligence dashboard designed to track and analyze Lassa F